Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 11.080176 12.404479 13.836618 15.502482 17.389506 19.463624 21.920075
2025-05-04 9.132158 10.965958 13.105241 15.794110 19.095980 23.034090 28.110558
2025-05-11 7.547517 9.595737 12.138271 15.546179 20.024413 25.749444 33.688335
2025-05-18 6.414528 8.555624 11.356377 15.321804 20.845625 28.346730 39.438902
2025-05-25 5.565714 7.735232 10.704250 15.113109 21.577103 30.836778 45.339865
2025-06-01 4.931997 7.107402 10.205744 15.006265 22.375476 33.455120 51.745170
2025-06-08 4.439802 6.609503 9.812818 14.970831 23.228074 36.207678 58.704732
2025-06-15 4.154699 6.377628 9.773069 15.444694 24.896729 40.406334 68.594949
2025-06-22 3.785243 5.969174 9.406572 15.338097 25.584341 43.057983 76.209552
2025-06-29 3.418491 5.523186 8.926757 14.975878 25.773015 44.849369 82.507093
2025-07-06 3.130983 5.175706 8.567995 14.768562 26.187442 47.059453 89.873234
2025-07-13 2.984835 5.049734 8.565650 15.178731 27.753914 51.558641 102.371236
2025-07-20 2.849745 4.935430 8.581498 15.642242 29.516591 56.744907 117.314489
2025-07-27 2.687789 4.758174 8.468104 15.852884 30.822635 61.228296 131.600248
2025-08-03 2.474492 4.467178 8.117742 15.566214 31.095277 63.636545 141.727173
2025-08-10 2.289690 4.211799 7.808644 15.324483 31.426049 66.206753 152.681320
2025-08-17 2.126915 3.983208 7.528345 15.108038 31.779036 68.867067 164.325908
2025-08-24 1.991983 3.796306 7.311383 14.997717 32.346482 72.083797 177.943675
2025-08-31 1.877260 3.639043 7.138422 14.960693 33.070990 75.763237 193.449134
2025-09-07 1.822391 3.597265 7.196342 15.433439 35.033114 82.695673 219.057977
2025-09-14 1.717459 3.443270 7.005689 15.326577 35.600766 86.256790 235.978924
2025-09-21 1.599129 3.251423 6.717497 14.964498 35.497901 88.089234 248.259227
2025-09-28 1.503931 3.100978 6.505458 14.757282 35.753730 90.891927 263.994984